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	<title>Science Media Centre &#187; Briefings</title>
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		<title>Anatomy of a disaster: preliminary report on the February 22, 2011 Christchurch quake</title>
		<link>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2012/01/27/anatomy-of-a-disaster-preliminary-report-on-the-february-22-2011-christchurch-quake/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2012/01/27/anatomy-of-a-disaster-preliminary-report-on-the-february-22-2011-christchurch-quake/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 21:21:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kent</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Briefings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christchurch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earthquake]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ground-shaking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liquefaction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[quake prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[STEP]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/?p=14813</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Scientists have confirmed in a new research paper on last year&#8217;s disastrous February 22  Christchurch aftershock that computer modelling showed a week beforehand that there was a 25 percent  chance of &#8220;a magnitude 6 or greater earthquake occurring in the general aftershock zone of the Darfield earthquake in the next year&#8221;.      The paper [...]]]></description>
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<p><strong>Scientists have confirmed in a new research paper on last year&#8217;s disastrous February 22  Christchurch aftershock that computer modelling showed a week beforehand that there was a 25 percent  chance of &#8220;a magnitude 6 or greater earthquake occurring in the general aftershock zone of the Darfield earthquake in the next year&#8221;.     </strong></p>
<p><strong>The paper is available for download <a href="http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/00288306.2011.641182">here</a>.</strong></p>
<p>Authors of the  paper,  <a href="http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00288306.2011.641182" shape="rect">the Mw 6.2 Christchurch Earthquake of February 2011: Preliminary Report</a>  said that time-dependent earthquake forecast models such as the Short Term Earthquake Probability (STEP) model  were implemented after the 7.1 magnitude September 2010  Darfield earthquake, and forecast an aftershock &#8220;of the size of the 22 February earthquake with a high probability&#8221;. STEP was <a href="http://earthquake.usgs.gov/research/external/reports/06HQGR0141.pdf" shape="rect">created in 2005</a> by Dr Matt Gerstenberger of  GNS Science and his colleagues in the United States and Switzerland, and research into  <a href="http://geology.usgs.gov/postdoc/2013/opps/opp12.html" shape="rect">operational earthquake forecasting</a> is continuing overseas.</p>
<div id="attachment_14820" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2012/01/Earthquake-22-Feb-20111.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-14820" title="(Source: GeoNet.co.nz)" src="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2012/01/Earthquake-22-Feb-20111-300x197.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="197" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">February 22, 2011</p></div>
<p>During the Royal Commission inquiry into the Canterbury earthquakes, <a href="http://canterbury.royalcommission.govt.nz/documents-by-key/20111206.1544" shape="rect">the issue was probed last October,</a> when GNS scientist Dr Kelvin Berryman said that  the GNS team had grappled over the merits of making  a public warning: &#8220;There were five or six obvious scenarios where that future earthquake might occur. The worse possible case was directly under the city.</p>
<p>&#8220;It wasn&#8217;t really a reasonable approach to try and do that at that time because of the range of places where that magnitude six might occur. We didn&#8217;t want to alarm unnecessarily,&#8221;  <a href="http://www.nzherald.co.nz/earthquakes/news/article.cfm?c_id=184&amp;objectid=10760238" shape="rect">he said in October 2011.</a></p>
<p>After September 4, GNS staff noted a &#8220;<a href="http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:E4W6YoMyv0UJ:canterbury.royalcommission.govt.nz/documents-by-key/20111014.391/$file/SEI.GNS.0014.pdf+kelvin+berryman+terry+webb+.nz&amp;hl=en&amp;gl=nz" shape="rect">social science recommendation</a>&#8221; to provide basic numbers. But some residents were alarmed by a subsequent magnitude-4.9 Boxing Day quake, and  another GNS Science researcher, Dr Terry Webb said last October that  in the first couple of weeks after that  Boxing Day 2010 shake, &#8220;social science advice was basically that we&#8217;ve got a traumatised population and what can you do to help them cope best, and that really was to get them coping with aftershocks&#8221;.</p>
<p>After February 22, GNS Science did make  public statements warning of the possibility of a further aftershock of one magnitude less than the 6.3 magnitude shake which resulted in the deaths of 182 people. Earlier this year it gave a public briefing on aftershocks fading away over as long as 30 years, and Dr Berryman has said <a href="http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/6233054/Aftershock-data-revised-to-assess-risk" target="_blank">scientists should have a better picture</a> by next week of when Canterbury&#8217;s shakes will settle into a &#8220;background&#8221; level.</p>
<p>Today, the journal paper &#8212; published in the <em>New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics</em> with GNS Science seismologist Anna Kaiser as lead author &#8212; said that the Darfield tremor was a &#8220;large regional quake&#8221;  and the February 22 a &#8220;close-by moderate-sized earthquake&#8221; with stronger shaking than was expected for a quake of that size.</p>
<p>&#8220;The ground motions were of very low probability according to the national seismic hazard model,&#8221; the authors said. &#8220;Ongoing efforts are focused on better quantifying the factors that contributed to the high ground motions in order to assess the possible implications for future earthquakes in the Canterbury region, and by extension other comparable areas in New Zealand and worldwide&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>Key points included:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Horizontal ground motions 1.7 times the force of gravity were larger than expected.</li>
<li>One reason for this was the rupture&#8217;s &#8220;directivity&#8221; towards Christchurch.</li>
<li>A trampoline effect enhanced by  the &#8220;slapdown&#8221; of falling upper soil layers hitting rising sub-soils.</li>
<li>&#8220;Remarkably high&#8221; levels of apparent stress: two possible reasons are canvassed.</li>
<li> High water tables trapped energy in the top layers of soil in some areas, boosting liquefaction.</li>
<li>The Banks Peninsula volcanic outcrop may have concentrated the stress field.</li>
<li>Data from 129 of Geonet&#8217;s sites created the most significant dataset since strong-motion recording began 50 years ago.</li>
<li>And 17 ground and structural records from within 10km of the fault are prized: most Wellington is also within 10km of a fault(s).</li>
<li>Liquefaction caused the largest damage to land and buildings, including many CBD high-rises.</li>
<li>Deep-seated landslides caused most damage  in the southern Port Hills.</li>
<li>Critical structural elements in buildings 1976-1992 failed, staircase damage was severe in some post-1992 buildings.</li>
</ul>
</div>
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		<title>Coral Sea: &#8220;Don&#8217;t worry about a couple of degrees&#8221; &#8211; professor</title>
		<link>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/12/05/coral-sea-dont-worry-about-a-couple-of-degrees-professor/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/12/05/coral-sea-dont-worry-about-a-couple-of-degrees-professor/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Dec 2011 06:39:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kent</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Briefings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change adaption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coral]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ocean acidification]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/?p=13996</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Warming of the oceans may not be as  terrible an experience for fish in some waters which are already warm &#8212; such as the Coral Sea &#8211;  according to a leading Australian ecologist,   of the University of Queensland, who says that, personally, he is not worried about an increase of couple of degrees in temperature. [...]]]></description>
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<p><strong>Warming of the oceans may not be as  terrible an experience for fish in some waters which are already warm &#8212; such as the Coral Sea &#8211;  according to a leading Australian ecologist,   of the University of Queensland, who says that, personally, he is not worried about an increase of couple of degrees in temperature.</strong></p>
<div id="attachment_13999" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 207px"><a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/12/possingham1.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-13999" title="Professor Hugh Possingham" src="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/12/possingham1-197x300.jpg" alt="Professor Hugh Possingham" width="197" height="300" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Professor Hugh Possingham</p></div>
<p>&#8220;I&#8217;m a bit of a sceptic about some aspects of the importance of climate change &#8212; I&#8217;m not a sceptic about climate change happening &#8212; but  I think a lot of the short-lived species have the ability to rapidly evolve, at least to deal with 2degc or 3degC ,&#8221;  Professor Possingham told the SMC at an Auckland briefing on<a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/12/02/scientists-on-priorities-for-marine-conservation/"> marine biodiversity</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;And a lot of the big species that can&#8217;t evolve quickly, like the whales and other cetaceans, and the big fish, have a lot of ability to adapt to climate change by moving where they feed, because there&#8217;s a lot of variability in the water temperature in the ocean.</p>
<p>&#8220;Personally, I don&#8217;t worry about a couple of degrees in something like the Coral Sea,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Places like <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/12/05/last-ocean-concerns-canvassed-at-conservation-think-tank/">Antarctica</a> are probably more worrying, because there&#8217;s nowhere (for cold-loving fish) to go&#8221;.</p>
<p>But Professor Possingham said acidification of the oceans &#8212; an effect <a href="http://www.acecrc.org.au/access/repository/resource/4f15b7ba-6abc-102f-a3d0-40404adc5e91/ACE_OCEANS_POSITION_ANALYSIS_LOW_RES.pdf">CSIRO scientists</a> said last week was likely to be hurting food chains in the Southern Ocean by the winter of 2030 &#8211;  would be a problem in both warm and cold waters, and coral reefs would be disproportionately affected.  He noted there were relatively few reefs in the Coral Sea, where the Australian Government last week announced plans for a 900,000 square kilometres marine protected area.</p>
<p>&#8220;The whole debate about the impact of acidification &#8212; climate change and coral reefs &#8212; is raging, and some people see very imminent doom and gloom, with just 2degC  or 3degC (lift in average global temperatures) and 450 parts per million (of CO2 in the atmosphere),&#8221; Professor Possingham said. &#8220;Other people are a little bit more optimistic.  &#8220;Arguably, however, we  are tracking to a lot worse than that, and it is a big concern for coral reefs&#8221;.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>&#8216;Last Ocean&#8217; concerns canvassed at conservation think tank</title>
		<link>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/12/05/last-ocean-concerns-canvassed-at-conservation-think-tank/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/12/05/last-ocean-concerns-canvassed-at-conservation-think-tank/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Dec 2011 03:31:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kent</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Briefings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science Alert: Experts Respond]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[antarctic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Antarctica]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[biodiversity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ICCB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ross Sea]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/?p=13971</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Some of the 250 international scientists gathered in Auckland for a world conference on conservation biology, have just spent three days  at sessions of a marine conservation think tank, where the questions they tackled included proposals for protecting biodiversity in the so-called &#8220;last ocean&#8221;,  New Zealand&#8217;s  Ross Sea. &#8220;There&#8217;s a marine protected area (MPA) proposed [...]]]></description>
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<p><strong>Some of the 250 international scientists gathered in Auckland for a <a title="world conference on conservation biology" href="http://www.conbio.org/Activities/Meetings/2011/program/ICCB2011_Programme_web.pdf" target="_blank">world conference on conservation biology</a>, have just spent three days  at sessions of a marine conservation think tank, where the questions they tackled included proposals for protecting biodiversity in the so-called &#8220;last ocean&#8221;,  New Zealand&#8217;s  Ross Sea.</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/12/Antarctica-NSF-300x221.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-13978" title="Antarctica-NSF-300x221" src="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/12/Antarctica-NSF-300x221.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="221" /></a>&#8220;There&#8217;s a marine protected area (MPA) proposed for the Ross Sea, that New Zealand is leading at the moment, and there is a need to do a whole lot more work before we take the final proposal for the MPA to the international body that looks after fishing,&#8221;   Antarctica New Zealand&#8217;s science manager, <a title="Ed Butler" href="http://www.apecs.is/workshops/oslo2010/mentors/1705-ed-butler%20" target="_blank">Ed Butler</a>,  told journalists at a briefing held by the SMC.</p>
<p>The scientists at the inaugural global Marine Conservation Think Tank were developing a priority list of actions for marine conservation efforts, particularly in the southern hemisphere, and Dr Butler spoke on a workshop which probed implications of environmental change to Antarctic eco-systems.</p>
<p>The Ross Sea 3000 km south of NZ &#8212; some of it covered by the world&#8217;s largest chunk of floating ice, nearly twice the size of New Zealand  at 450,000 square km &#8212; played a key role, he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;This area is one of the most productive oceans in the world, because of the ocean chemistry and because of what happens  in Antarctica in winter and early in the summer.</p>
<p>&#8220;The oceans around Antarctica and particularly in the Ross Sea, absorbs huge amounts of CO2 and (leading American oceanographer) <a title="Sylvia Earle" href="http://blog.sylviaearlealliance.org/2011/06/ross-sea-antarctic-hope-spot.html" target="_blank">Sylvia Earle</a> has described it as the &#8216;lungs of the planet&#8217;.&#8221;</p>
<p>Dr Butler said the Ross Sea was a pristine region and the last natural labouratory left for scientists to study how ecosystems worked in their natural state.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s really important that we try to understand that ecosystem and try and protect it as best we can&#8221;.</p>
<p>&#8220;We don&#8217;t understand the ecosystems well enough to know what will happen if we get less sea-ice in the Ross Sea region &#8212; sea ice drives the primary productivity through the<a title="sea-ice algae" href="http://www.antarcticanz.govt.nz/k043-antarctic-sea-ice-algal-productivity-and-global-climate-change" target="_blank"> sea-ice algae</a> &#8212; we&#8217;re talking about millions of square kilometres of algae feeding the ecosystem&#8221;.</p>
<p>&#8220;We just don&#8217;t have enough data to figure out what might be the impacts int he Ross Sea region, but we are already seeing some of these things playing out in the rest of Antarctica&#8221;.</p>
<p>But the Antarctic environment was altering rapidly, and the Antarctic Peninsula was the fastest-warming area of the planet, with big changes in sea-ice, while changes appeared slower in the Ross Sea.</p>
<p>Basic longterm data on the Antarctic marine environment was lacking, which made it hard to benchmark change in the ecosystems.</p>
<p>Asked what New Zealand had done to prepare for a UN-recognised MPA for the Ross Sea, and whether policy makers were more focussed on just protecting some biodiversity hotspots such as the <a title="Balleny  Islands" href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/09/09/ross-sea-should-nz-seek-protection-for-the-last-ocean/" target="_blank">Balleny Islands</a>, Dr Butler said NZ had collected as much data as it could to create a good picture of the regional biology of the Ross Sea.</p>
<p>&#8220;The idea was  to protect those values that we thought were really important,&#8221; he told the SMC.</p>
<p>&#8220;The MPA that is being proposed does do that &#8211; it protects almost 100 percent of the different bioregions that scientists thought were important.</p>
<p>Recent <a title="news reports" href="%20http://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/5768227/NZ-to-veto-total-protection-of-Ross-Sea" target="_blank">news reports</a> have said that New Zealand was preparing to to veto any attempt to protect the whole Ross Sea &#8211; part of its Ross Dependency  &#8212; because of the economic importance of the toothfish catch there, but Dr Butler said that fisheries and Foreign Affairs officials were still working on the issues involved.</p>
<p>&#8220;In terms of what goes up to the (Hobart-based) <a href="http://www.ccamlr.org/pu/E/cc/intro.htm" target="_blank">Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources</a>  there are likely to be changes before we put the final MPA,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t think it is fair to say that we are only interested in protecting biodiversity hot-spots &#8212; I think the MPA is a sensisble trade-off between conservation and trying to get something that other nations will buy into.</p>
<p>&#8220;Marnine protecte areas in Antarctica are very complicated beasts, because there are 25 nations that sit at the table and you need consensus to do anything &#8212; if one nation doesn&#8217;t like what you&#8217;re proposing &#8230; you have to go back to the drawing board.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are working with other nations to try to work out a way forward so that we don&#8217;t put something up that gets kicked for touch right away&#8221;.<br />
Earlier in the briefing, a leading ecologist Professor Hugh Possingham, of the University of Queensland, spoke about  Australia&#8217;s own  marine reserves, and  said there had been &#8220;significant progress&#8221;,  with the Great Barrier Reef as the&#8221;gold standard&#8221;.</p>
<p>But subsequent planning for marine protected areas on other parts of Australia&#8217;s coast had not been as good, with a tendency for only small parts of  the continental shelf not wanted by other interests such as petroleum explorers, miners or fishers to be included in reserves.</p>
<p>He also suggested New Zealand had lost its leadership role in marine protected areas.</p>
<p>&#8220;In the 1970s and 1980s, New Zealand was considered to lead the world in marine protected areas &#8212; there were a  lot of reserves, there was a lot of discussion,&#8221; said Professor  Possingham. &#8220;There was outstanding marine science, and yet and yet clearly , in the mainland New Zealand waters, very little has happened in the last few years, and other countries have pushed ahead,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>On Australia&#8217;s own  marine reserves, Prof Possingham, said there had been&#8221;significant progress&#8221;, with the Great Barrier Reef as the &#8220;gold standard&#8221;. But subsequent planning for marine protected areas on other parts of Australia&#8217;s coast had not been as good, with a tendency for only small parts of the continental shelf not wanted by other interests such as petroleum explorers, miners or fishers to be included in reserves.</p>
<p>An audio recording of the briefing can be heard <a title="here" href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/12/02/scientists-on-priorities-for-marine-conservation/" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Scientists on priorities for marine conservation</title>
		<link>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/12/02/scientists-on-priorities-for-marine-conservation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/12/02/scientists-on-priorities-for-marine-conservation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Dec 2011 01:00:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Griffin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Briefings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[biosiversity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Conservation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marine protection]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reserve]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/?p=13963</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[An international group of scientists met in Auckland this weekend for the inaugural  Marine Conservation Think Tank to develop a priority list of actions for marine conservation efforts in the region and internationally. As climate change diplomats meet in Durban, South Africa at COP17 to try and negotiate an emissions reduction plan and a new [...]]]></description>
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<p><strong>An international group of scientists met in Auckland this weekend for the inaugural  <a href="http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=oh9uarcab&amp;et=1108902341623&amp;s=0&amp;e=001Rlj03prMOl9r-b2oqR94mv8H4QGak5uRfeWINpPGV6onodo8MQTgE5wBknB58U5ck2wPmmydp7D8FhatJq9b-al7YkHXOMB41rO8ja4DXyWPoSLWj7weCLVmibTQS_RqbaHyV6SguvlnM8n0-XqPfdosS0UxFlPiaRuZwjFFbb6IAT6c2sZ9DA==" shape="rect" target="_blank">Marine Conservation Think Tank</a> to develop a priority list of actions for marine conservation efforts in the region and internationally.</strong></p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/12/Australia-to-create-Marine-Reserve-400x266.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-13965" style="margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 20px;" title="Australia-to-create-Marine-Reserve-400x266" src="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/12/Australia-to-create-Marine-Reserve-400x266.jpg" alt="" width="246" height="187" /></a></strong>As climate change diplomats meet in Durban, South Africa at <a href="http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=oh9uarcab&amp;et=1108902341623&amp;s=0&amp;e=001Rlj03prMOl9r-b2oqR94mv8H4QGak5uRfeWINpPGV6onodo8MQTgE5wBknB58U5ck2wPmmydp7D8FhatJq9b-Z2GZodfxbpw0MYGibNCjQc0py_FudHGCn5tuDN1Ky8s" shape="rect" target="_blank">COP17</a> to try and negotiate an emissions reduction plan and a new round of Kyoto Protocol commitments, conservation scientists are considering the impacts of climate change, over-fishing and pollution on the marine environment.</p>
<p>The Think Tank was held prior to this week&#8217;s <a href="http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=oh9uarcab&amp;et=1108902341623&amp;s=0&amp;e=001Rlj03prMOl9r-b2oqR94mv8H4QGak5uRfeWINpPGV6onodo8MQTgE5wBknB58U5ck2wPmmydp7D8FhatJq9b-al7YkHXOMB41rO8ja4DXyWPoSLWj7weCLVmibTQS_RqbaHyV6Sguvkr9XZaufLQm1Qdqn7J6TWcU4vAC4WfGgKl0cNHLkAuxJdO3KQvPJRH_2QhiUGdTqzWTvNMnBRLWCh3dkSWc5Te" shape="rect" target="_blank">International Congress for Conservation Biology</a> which is being held at Sky City Convention Centre December 5th &#8211; 9th.</p>
<p>The Science Media Centre held a press briefing for journalists at <strong>11am on Monday December 5th</strong> where Think Tank participants will outline the major issues in marine conservation &#8211; and what should be done about them.</p>
<p><strong>Issues covered in the briefing include:</strong></p>
<p>-<strong>Marine Protected Areas (MPAs):</strong> what is the scientific case for large-scale marine protected areas, how effective are they and what are the gaps in knowledge around MPAs that scientists need to answer? What will the Coral Sea marine reserve mean for biodiversity in the region? Last week, the Australian Government <a href="http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=oh9uarcab&amp;et=1108902341623&amp;s=0&amp;e=001Rlj03prMOl9r-b2oqR94mv8H4QGak5uRfeWINpPGV6onodo8MQTgE5wBknB58U5ck2wPmmydp7B_IY0QHkq6KJzjJa-HN0eV_B_T_WMDVdgOxNw6CWacy-57CTvH2K9pbcWnOzRNwQ8DFZc0XwTa8Jf4Z9T8xrfRd95D50vKElOnnOWizjzlBzNlRLd-FA9H" shape="rect" target="_blank">announced plans</a> to form one of the world&#8217;s largest marine reserves in the Coral Sea &#8211; spanning 990,000 kilometres. Visiting Australian expert Professor Hugh Possingham discusses the implications of the marine reserve plan.</p>
<p>-<strong>The Antarctic ecosystem:</strong> what are the major pressures on the pristine Ross Sea marine ecosystem and how can we better monitor and mitigate against environmental changes in this region that is strategically important to New Zealand. Dr Ed Butler for Antarctica New Zealand highlighted the difficulties of data collection in the region and explained the outcomes of think tank meeting focused on the Antarctic conservation</p>
<p>-<strong>Climate change and ocean acidification:</strong> What are the key changes these factors are driving in the ocean ecosystems and what research needs to be undertaken to better understand those changes. Dr Carolyn Lundquist gave an overview of the think tank as a whole and described some of the issues, including acidification, covered in meetings over the weekend.</p>
<p><strong>You can listen to the briefing and view slides using the embedded player below:</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong> <iframe src="http://player.vimeo.com/video/33136323?title=0&amp;byline=0&amp;portrait=0" frameborder="0" width="600" height="450"></iframe></p>
<p><a href="http://vimeo.com/33136323">Priorities in Marine Conservation</a> from <a href="http://vimeo.com/user9522237">Science Media Centre NZ</a> on <a href="http://vimeo.com">Vimeo</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Audio only:</strong><br />
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<p><strong>SPEAKERS</strong></p>
<p><strong>Dr Carolyn Lundquist</strong>, Research Scientist, Marine Ecology NIWA, Chair of the 1st International Marine Conservation Think Tank and President-Elect of the Oceania Section of the Society for Conservation Biology.</p>
<p><strong>Professor Hugh Possingham</strong>, Professor of Mathematics and Professor of Ecology, The University of Queensland.</p>
<p><strong>Dr Ed Butler</strong>, Manager Antarctic Science, Antarctica New Zealand.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Total Diet Study &#8211; the findings analysed</title>
		<link>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/12/01/total-diet-study-the-findings-analysed/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/12/01/total-diet-study-the-findings-analysed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Dec 2011 04:46:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kent</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Briefings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MAF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[total diet survey]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/?p=13929</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MAF) officials say the five-yearly Total Diet Study &#8211; analysis based on research done in 2009 &#8212; showed estimated dietary exposures to all the 241 agricultural compound residues for which it tested were below the relevant acceptable daily intake (ADI) levels. &#8220;The New Zealand diet poses no food safety concerns [...]]]></description>
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<p><strong>Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MAF) officials say the five-yearly <a href="http://www.foodsafety.govt.nz/policy-law/food-monitoring-programmes/total-diet-study/documents.htm">Total Diet Study </a>&#8211; analysis based on research done in 2009 &#8212; showed estimated dietary exposures to all the 241 agricultural compound residues for which it tested were below the relevant acceptable daily intake (ADI) levels.</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/12/maf-doc.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-13959" title="maf doc" src="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/12/maf-doc.jpg" alt="" width="167" height="238" /></a>&#8220;The New Zealand diet poses no food safety concerns from chemical residues or contaminants,&#8221; MAF&#8217;s Acting Policy Manager Cherie Flynn. She said 93 percent of the dietary exposures to residues were calculated to be less than 0.1% of the ADI for the 123 commonly-eaten foods tested for some chemical residues, and contaminant and nutrient elements. About half the foods were sampled as regional foods, and all samples were tested after being prepared for eating: nearly 250,000 analyses were done.</p>
<p>&#8220;Although we are getting more residue detections than in the past because more sophisticated testing equipment can pick up residues at levels well below what we&#8217;ve been picked up in our previous total diet studies, it is very pleasing to see that the actual levels found are trending down,&#8221; said Mrs Flynn.</p>
<p>She said that tests for contaminants such as lead, mercury, methylmercury, cadmium and arsenic also did not show any cause for concern, and that levels of lead in the nation&#8217;s diet were now likely to be &#8220;as low as reasonably achievable&#8221;.</p>
<p>Estimated dietary exposures to cadmium, were below the provisional tolerable monthly intake set by the World Health Organisation (WHO). Total mercury and methylmercury were below WHO&#8217;s provisional tolerable weekly intakes, &#8220;however, those who eat a lot of certain types of fish that have the highest concentrations of mercury &#8230; have the potential to have significantly higher exposures to methylmercury,&#8221; said Mrs Flynn.</p>
<p>But checks on key nutrients (iodine, selenium and sodium) showed the mean sodium (salt) intake was too high &#8212; 116 percent -148 percent over levels that carry health risks &#8212; in six of the test groups.  Only the diet of women over 25 years was below this level, but it was still two to four times the recommended intake. Trend data suggested that the sodium intake in some of the consumer groups was slowly dropping.</p>
<p><strong>Read the full 2009 New Zealand <a href="http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=oh9uarcab&amp;et=1108884733802&amp;s=0&amp;e=001gsL9heC6spjOC5b63iWET5z8hWPI6Xhj8baYq6aYSrtqL72mpw5Zy_H6oK9grQcKKNAE0k8IQ5fCXGXbKSwsiShaTIVuaTQvIpk6HMaJu9bKBAVXU8Nab_f3jACdVCZZphYRXoHTPGp2qxdztUYfdpcljoGSqav73s9Qhk49bHelw3asNFKe2APnIXsexSdBPD5l_8unSeZg57G2Gf972g==" shape="rect" target="_blank">Total Diet Study</a></strong></p>
<p><span id="more-13929"></span>The 2009 study &#8212; commissioned by the NZ Food Safety Authority, which has since been merged back into MAF &#8212; was the seventh since the initial study was conducted in 1974/75.</p>
<p>The initial surveys were conducted by the Health Ministry, but MAF took a role after the 1990-91 MOH survey showed chemical residues in 97 percent of celery and the samples contained 17 different pesticide residues. In 2009, celery had detectable residues of nine different pesticides.</p>
<p>Overall, 45 percent of the food samples screened  contained detectable residues, down on the 40 percent found in 2003-2004, and the 59 percent found in 2997-98. Residues of 75 different agricultural compounds were detected in 2009 study, compared to 82 in 2003/04, and 910 (0.4 percent) of the 236,662 individual analyses detected residues, compared with 0.5 percent in 2003/04 and 1.4 percent in 1997/98.</p>
<p>But MAF said the  frequency of residue detections had &#8220;little bearing&#8221; on food safety risks based on  dietary exposures: the amount of food eaten and the residue concentrations in those foods. In the latest study, dietary exposures to agricultural compounds for all age and gender groups were well below the relevant acceptable daily intake (ADI) levels, &#8221; and are therefore unlikely to represent a risk to public health&#8221;.</p>
<p><strong>Highest exposures</strong></p>
<p>The highest estimated dietary exposures were for dithiocarbamate (DTC) fungicides such as Thiram, Ziram, Mancozeb and Metiram&#8211; mainly on apples, potatoes (even when peeled) and brassicas such as broccoli &#8212; and for infants and other young children these exposures ranged up to 52 percent of the ADI. Some vegetables such as brassicas have natural compounds which show up in analysis for DTC residues.</p>
<p>Two insecticides banned in New Zealand in 1989 &#8212; DDT and dieldrin &#8212; are still showing up in New Zealand food, though MAF officials think it make be because of either long-live breakdown products of the chemicals persisting in the soil, or arriving on imported foods.</p>
<p><strong>Battered fish with chlorpyrifos-methyl</strong></p>
<p>Officials who have given New Zealand foods a clean bill of health on pesticide residues and other contaminants after a massive study of diners’ exposure at average consumption levels say they they suspect some of the residues are arriving on imported foods, such as Australian wheat.</p>
<p>Analysis of the five-yearly Total Diet Survey done in 2009 was recently completed and showed 910 detections of residues, with 245 (27  percent) involving 30 different organophosphate compounds. Nearly 153 of these were fumigants used on stored grain &#8212; pirimiphos-methyl, fenitrothion, and chlorpyrifos-methyl &#8211;  and they not only showed up on ceareal products but hamburgers, pies, pizza and battered fish.</p>
<p>“Those are used generally on stored grain &#8212; so the levels being found would reflect the grain content of those foods &#8212; but the levels weren’t high,” said one of the study authors, Dr Richard Vannoort, of Environmental Science and Research (ESR). He said the key issue for the study was not the concentration but exposures consumers faced.</p>
<p>The study’s project manager, Cherie Flynn, told journalists that food production systems used agricultural compounds that had been assessed for safety and none of the residues found had been near the limits for good agricultural practice. Compounds used in Australia would all have been checked for safety. “In the North Island the majority of wheat is imported, in the South Island there is still a significant amount of locally-grown (wheat),” she said.</p>
<p>Dr Vannoort said the study had not looked at whether more insecticides were used on Australian wheat, such as when it was stored, than on wheat produced in this country, and whether that was why organophosphates had shown up in breads, biscuits, and muffins other products with a cereal content.</p>
<p>MAF toxicologist John Reeve said the type of chemical used and the amount used would depend on the pests involved. “You would get differences both possibly in the chemical used and the amount used,” he said.</p>
<p>Eight other organophasphates found for the first time had not yet been registered for use in New Zealand, so imported foods were the most likely sources, the study said.</p>
<p><strong>Leading question</strong></p>
<p>Dietary exposure sources of lead are spread fairly evenly and “reflect the ubiquitous environmental presence of residual lead in NZ,” said the Total Diet Study.</p>
<p>There was a  “slightly elevated” level of lead found in some of the  breads from Napier in a regional survey, said project manager Mrs Flynn.”It wasn’t a health issue”. Assessments at the time showed that even a large daily  bread-eater would only be exposed to around 10 percent of the safe weekly intake of lead.</p>
<p>The New Zealand lead exposure for males over 25 was low, at 0.9 micrograms per kilogram of body weight per week, when compared to Australia’s 1.6 micrograms. In  2003-2004, high levels of lead found in infant foods were traced back to cornflour from corn imported in a bulk carrier which had previously taken lead ore to China. That boosted lead levels to 0.472 mg/kg lead in infant custard weaning food, when normal levels were 0.002 mg/kg.</p>
<p>But checks on wheat samples &#8212; through the the annual Food Residues Surveillance Programme (FRSP) &#8211;  did not find a similar scenario of contaminated shipments. The high-lead bread in Napier appeared to have been a one-off incident, and now MAF considered that lead exposure levels had been reduced “as low as reasonably achievable,” Mrs Flynn said.</p>
<p>Mr Reeve said the finding that the level of lead in food had gone as low as  it was possible to get it was “very pleasing” because last year a global committee of experts on food additives had found that the previous “provisional tolerable weekly intake” of 25 micrograms of lead per kilogram of bodyweight &#8212; the exact amount that that young New Zealand men were consuming in 1982 &#8212; reduced the intelligence quotient (IQ) in children by three points. It also  boosted the sytolic blood pressure of adults.</p>
<p>Infants have markedly higher intakes of lead than adults &#8212; 2.1 micrograms  &#8212; because they are growing rapidly and eat a higher proportion of their bodyweight each week.</p>
<p><strong>Mercury not rising</strong></p>
<p>Fish and shellfish provide up to 73 percent of the total mercury in the diet of young New Zealand men, and 55 percent of the mercury in the diet of infants, but Total Diet Survey researchers said this should not turn people off all fish.</p>
<p>“Fish is a very important source of protein, vitamins, minerals and omega fatty acids, but they also contribute mercury” said Dr Vannoort.</p>
<p>“Keep eating fish &#8212; it’s only certain types of those larger fish where you should limit the consumption”. Advice was available on a MAF website, which show that for over 50 percent of fish such as terakihi, people could eat as much as they liked, but large predatory species such as shark, tuna, and lemonfish had higher levels of mercurymethyl.</p>
<p>In the Total Diet Study, the highest concentrations of total mercury were in battered fish, up to 0.48mg/kg, just below the trans-Tasman limit of 0.50mg/kg. But asked whether this meant poorer housholds who bought the cheapest fish and chips would be exposed to higher mercury levels, Dr Vannoort said risk was not related to concentration of the contaminant, but how much of the fish they ate.</p>
<p>“It’s the whole issue of food security,” he told journalists at a briefing on the study.</p>
<p>“Because they’re at lower socio-economic (end of the market) their choices tend to gravitate to things that are easier to get: they don’t have to grow their own foods. I’m generalising .. but they would tend to have foods that are more processed, so higher in sodium, they would tend to be higher in fats as well  if you’ve got pizzas and takeaways. You can grow your own vegetables and cook your food, and it’s certainly more nutritious and cheaper and more cost effective as well”.</p>
<p><strong>Sodium only so-so</strong></p>
<p>Sodium levels in the NZ diet &#8212; about 90-percent of it accounted-for by the salt often used for flavour or as a preservative &#8212; were above “adequate intake” levels for all population groups, and exceeded the advised upper levels of intake by up to 48 percent for the average consumer &#8212; before any salt was added to food during cooking or at the table.</p>
<p>High intakes are associated with increased risk of hypertension, a risk factor for cardiovascular disease, and kidney damage, but some young males had up to 6800mg/day &#8212; close to three times the upper levels that were advised.</p>
<p>The highest levels were in yeast-based spreads (35,000 mg/kg), while bacon contained 16,910 mg/kg. There was a much lower level in bread &#8212; where salt content had dropped 22 percent since 1988 &#8212; but the quantity of bread eaten meant it provided between 14 percent and 28 percent of the population’s sodium intake. Sodium levels in milk dropped by 54 percent over the same time.</p>
<p>“We love the taste of salty foods,” said Dr Vannoort.  He said the lower salt levels in bread were an example of industry cooperation, but if people wanted to reduce their salt intake, they should cut back their consumption of processed foods, which provided 70 percent of the sodium in the surveyed diet. A tomato had a sodium level of only 9mg/kg, but tomato sauce 8300mg/kg. “You could have tomato puree rather than tomato sauce”.</p>
<p><strong>Iodine &#8211; averting mental retardation</strong></p>
<p>The levels of iodine in the average New Zealander’s diet have stopped dropping, but they have plateaued below estimated requirements.</p>
<p>The latest Total Diet Survey &#8212; based on samples taken in 2009 and analysed over the next two years &#8212; only captured the start of the September 2009 standard  which made fortification of bread with iodised salt mandatory for many commercial bread-bakers.</p>
<p>Study author, Dr Vannoort said iodine was important because it was not only needed for physical development and the thyroid gland, but for mental development, particularly in young children.</p>
<p>“The mental development is more crucial &#8212; if you don’t get enough iodine in those formative years, the retardation, the lack of development is irreversable”. Serious deficiencies could lead to cretinism.</p>
<p>Pregnant and lactating women were being offered iodine supplements, and further research was being commissioned to look at more specific measures of iodine in adults, said MAF nutrition manager David Roberts.</p>
<p>“We’re just starting now to look at the preliminary results of the first post-fortification period,” he said.</p>
<p>“If the standard is not working we will look why it’s not working  and maybe some other risk-management options”. One of these could be to extend the requirement for iodised salt to be extended from bread to other iodised foods.</p>
<p><strong>FACTBOX</strong></p>
<p><strong>The Study</strong><br />
* The NZ Total Diet Study takes place every five years, though the latest was delayed by the Christchurch earthquake.<br />
* Individual foods were prepared and sampled, with exposure calculated on simulated diets for eight different age and gender groups<br />
* In the 2009 survey, Weetbix were treated as a regional food because they are made in at two different factories with gains from different sources; tap water and bottle water were treated as separate foods, and an Indian dish was added to the takeaways.</p>
<p><strong>Testing By The Numbers:</strong><br />
* 123 foods &#8212; each purchased over two seasons &#8211; in 12 groups, representing 70 percent of commonly-consumed foods.<br />
* 62 “national” foods and 61 which varied according to region.<br />
* 4330 food samples were purchased<br />
* 982 samples sent for analysis, 545 (55 percent) had detectable residues.<br />
* 69 percent of dietary exposures calculated to have zero exposure to individual compounds<br />
* Nearly 250,000 individual analyses:<br />
- 241 pesticide residues, including nine dithiocarbamate (DTC) fungicide checked as one chemical, (carbon disulphide)<br />
- 5 other contaminants (arsenic, lead, mercury, cadmium, and methylmercury)<br />
- 3 nutrients (iodine, selenium and sodium)</p>
<p><strong>The Results</strong><br />
* Similar to the 2003-2004 study, but fewer pesticide residues found, and at lower levels this time.<br />
* Lead contamination now “as low as reasonably achievable”<br />
* No health risk from arsenic<br />
* Cadmium below WHO provisional tolerable intakes<br />
* Total mercury and the most dangerous organic methylmercury below WHO provisional tolerable intake levels.<br />
* Iodine below adeqate levels but has stopped dropping.<br />
* Selenium is steady at around adequate levels.<br />
* Sodium (salt) still high “but trending down”</p>
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		<title>Cafe Scientifique covers Rena spill</title>
		<link>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/30/cafe-scientifique-covers-rena-spill/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/30/cafe-scientifique-covers-rena-spill/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Nov 2011 22:49:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Kerr</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Briefings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cafe scientifique]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ecosystems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil spill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[radar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rena]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[salvage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wildlife]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/?p=13896</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Rena grounding was the focus of a night of informal talks from experts at a cafe in Tauranga this month, bringing the science of the recovery effort to the people. Three experts spoke earlier this month at a Cafe Scientifique gathering in Tauranga, the epicenter of the Rena recovery. Cafe Scientifique is an international [...]]]></description>
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<p><strong>The Rena grounding was the focus of a night of informal talks from experts at a cafe in Tauranga this month, bringing the science of the recovery effort to the people.</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/30/cafe-scientifique-covers-rena-spill/oilyrena-2/" rel="attachment wp-att-13897"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-13897" title="The Rena Oil Spill: a slippery issue" src="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/11/oilyRena-300x257.jpg" alt="" width="238" height="204" /></a>Three experts spoke earlier this month at a Cafe Scientifique gathering in Tauranga, the epicenter of the Rena recovery. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caf%C3%A9_Scientifique">Cafe Scientifique</a> is an international grass roots movement characterised by public talks on science in informal settings such a bars and cafes. The Rena science presentations were held at cafe Alimento in Tauranga on the 21st of November.</p>
<p><strong>Speakers</strong></p>
<p>At the gathering, Mr Andrew Berry, who leads the Salvage Operations for Maritime New Zealand, discussed the logistics of the recovery and clean-up effort and some of the issues surrounding the salvage of the ship.</p>
<p>He was followed by Geophysics Professor Mal Heron from James Cook University, whose work on<a href="http://www.jcu.edu.au/research/excellence/JCUPRD_036940.html"> high frequency radar </a>placed him in a convenient position to monitor oceanographic data following the grounding of the <em><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MV_Shen_Neng_1">Sheng Neng</a> </em> in Australia.</p>
<p>Finally <a href="http://sci.waikato.ac.nz/about-us/people/cbatters">Professor Chris Battershill</a>, Chair in Coastal Science at the University of Waikato talked about the biological impactof the grounding and the effects of the oil slick on Bay of Plenty ecosystems.</p>
<p><strong>You can read more about the event <a href="http://sci.waikato.ac.nz/news-events/whats-on/cafe-scientifique/cafe-scientifique/tauranga-cafe-scientifique-november">here</a>.</strong></p>
<p>Organiser Dr Kathrin Otrel-Cass, Centre for Science &amp; Technology Education Research (CSTER), University of Waikato, kindly provided the Science Media Centre with audio of the presentations, embedded below.</p>
<p><strong>Mr Andrew Berry</strong>, Maritime New Zealand<br />
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<strong>Prof Mal Heron,</strong> James Cook University<br />
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<strong>Prof Chris Battershill</strong>, University of Waikato<br />
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		<title>Climate changes mean tough times ahead for Pacific islands</title>
		<link>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/25/climate-changes-mean-tough-times-ahead-for-pacific-islands/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/25/climate-changes-mean-tough-times-ahead-for-pacific-islands/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Nov 2011 06:32:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kent</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Briefings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[greenhouse gases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ocean acidification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sea levels]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/?p=13862</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ Australian scientists have  released a new report on climate change in the Pacific detailing rising sea levels, increasing temperatures andincreases in ocean acidity with  drastic implications for coral-based eco-systems from hitting home in less than 40 years. &#8220;The Pacific is getting hotter, sea-levels are rising, rainfall is changing, and equatorial winds have weakened,&#8221; said researcher, [...]]]></description>
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<p><strong></strong> <strong>Australian scientists have  released a new report on climate change in the Pacific detailing rising sea levels, increasing temperatures andincreases in ocean acidity with  drastic implications for coral-based eco-systems from hitting home in less than 40 years.</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/11/atoll.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-13867" title="© WWF-Canon / Cat HOLLOWAY " src="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/11/atoll-300x96.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="96" /></a>&#8220;The Pacific is getting hotter, sea-levels are rising, rainfall is changing, and equatorial winds have weakened,&#8221; said researcher, Australian Bureau of Meteorology senior principal scientist, Dr Scott Power. &#8220;Further sea-level rises in response to human-forced warming appear inevitable&#8221;. But the magnitude of these changes could be mitigated if greenhouse gas levels were reduced.</p>
<p>The peer-reviewed report, <a href="http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=oh9uarcab&amp;et=1108766129050&amp;s=2715&amp;e=001xa1j96YEBpA9vsjPNWHD3kJ335CiuzjV33cK4PWKZDM5sGF2J9OBrQm__QsBgMke7CwfSJQHPs-cW4hREr3kpZsgt-mTsPy3xr9jj6VsEU5ny_B-fyLG0O-6Hypnu3mphnpKap1S2pC4NultH34sayFrYXnC0fFe" shape="rect" target="_blank">Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research</a>  involved more than 100 Australian and Pacific island researchers and is the first time a comprehensive country-specific assessment has been conducted for 15 nations, including  the Cook Islands, Tonga, Samoa, Fiji, the  Solomon Islands,, Marshall Islands, PNG, East Timor, and Vanuatu. The 530-page report will be presented at the Conference of the Parties (COP17) meeting in Durban starting next week &#8212; where the incoming New Zealand government is expected to rush a Climate Change Minister immediately after this weekend&#8217;s election.</p>
<p>The report today warned many people on Pacific Islands were facing serious and immediate challenges from climate change, which included tough times for for economic activities, such as agriculture and tourism, as well as individual livelihoods and ecosystems.</p>
<p>There was only very limited specific scientific information available to these countries, and the <a href="http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=oh9uarcab&amp;et=1108766129050&amp;s=2715&amp;e=001xa1j96YEBpAR9bVGvWx637BU4-SZ28G02_jxgTCVb2yUdVw-7vbwVjfuTR0R33-A0x6zbuEfCc0on5IQjdN6BFqegO_wyBImUtr6zSU5FVYnFmIjjZgmue5JwwQsrePz1w1nBI-ZO7c=" shape="rect" target="_blank">Pacific Climate Change Science Program</a> (PCCSP) was aiming to help fill this gap by examining past climate trends and variability and providing regional and national climate projections.</p>
<p>Projected regional warming was up to 1degC by 2030, and up to 1.3degC by 2055. If future global greenhouse gas emissions were low, by 2090 warming would be up to 2degC, and if they were high, up to 3degC. Large increases in the incidence of heatwaves, and extremely hot days were also projected.</p>
<p>A lift in mean annual rainfall for nations such as the Cook Islands, Fiji, Nauru, Niue, Samoa, Tonga, and Tuvalu would include torrential downpours that currently only happened once every 20 years &#8212; by 2055, they would happen four times a year, and by 2090, seven times a year.  This would increase the risks of erosion and landslides on some islands, but there would be fewer droughts.</p>
<p>Recent research showed a  global-mean sea-level rise of more than 2m by 2100 was &#8220;physically untenable&#8221; and a more plausible estimate was 800mm, with an global-averaged  upper-end sea-level rise scenario of 550mm to 1.1m by 2100, and for the Pacific islands, the total sea-level rise was likely to be slightly-larger than the global average.</p>
<p>Increased ocean acidification  was likely to be a major problem for coral reefs &#8212; and the eco-systems based on them &#8212; by 2050, combined with the storm damage from more intense cyclones,  and effects of coral bleaching, and increased pressure on fish stocks, said a CSIRO principal research scientist, Kevin Hennessy.<strong></strong></p>
<p><strong>A briefing for journalists held by our colleagues at the Australian SMC can be heard <a title="here" href="http://tinyurl.com/7bsswmx" target="_blank">here</a>:</strong></p>
<p>Some of the links available to the projections for specific island nations include:<br />
Cook Islands <a title="(brochure)" href="http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/PCCSP/pdf/9_PCCSP_Cook_Islands_8pp.pdf" target="_blank">(brochure) </a>or <a href="http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/PCCSP/Nov/Vol2_Ch2_Cooksislands.pdf" target="_blank">(full paper)</a><br />
Samoa <a title="(brochure)" href="http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/PCCSP/pdf/3_PCCSP_Samoa_8pp.pdf" target="_blank">(brochure) </a>or <a title="(full paper)" href="http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/PCCSP/Nov/Vol2_Ch12_Samoa.pdf" target="_blank">(full paper)</a><br />
Tonga <a href="http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/PCCSP/pdf/10_PSSCP_Tonga_8pp.pdf" target="_blank">(brochure)</a> or <a href="http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/PCCSP/Nov/Vol2_Ch14_Tonga.pdf" target="_blank">(full paper)</a><br />
Tuvalu <a href="http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/PCCSP/pdf/4_PCCSP_Tuvalu_8pp.pdf" target="_blank">(brochure)</a> or <a href="http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/PCCSP/Nov/Vol2_Ch15_Tuvalu.pdf" target="_blank">(full paper)</a><br />
Niue <a href="http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/PCCSP/pdf/12_PCCSP_Niue_8pp.pdf" target="_blank">(brochure)</a> or <a href="http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/PCCSP/Nov/Vol2_Ch9_Niue1.pdf" target="_blank">(full paper)</a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Election 2011 &#8211; SMC science Q&amp;A with political parties</title>
		<link>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Nov 2011 23:45:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Griffin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Briefings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ACT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2011]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Green Party]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Labour]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/?p=13447</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Science Media Centre put questions on key science-related issues to the political parties ahead of the General Election scheduled to be held on November 26.  Please click on the links below to find the answers from responding political parties (or download as a PDF): Science priorities  &#124;  Crown Research Institutes  &#124;  Science and education  [...]]]></description>
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<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><strong> <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/electionsciencemicro/" rel="attachment wp-att-13563"><img class="size-full wp-image-13563 aligncenter" title="Science &amp; the Election 2011" src="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/11/ElectionScienceMicro.jpg" alt="" width="560" height="121" /></a></strong></strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>The Science Media Centre put questions on key science-related issues to the political parties ahead of the General Election scheduled to be held on </strong><strong></strong><strong>November 26.</strong><strong> </strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Please click on the links below to find the answers from respo</strong><strong></strong><strong>nding political parties (or download as a <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/11/SMC-Election-Science-20111.pdf">PDF</a>):</strong><strong><br />
</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/#1">Science priorities</a></strong><strong>  |  <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/#2">Crown Research Institutes</a></strong><strong>  |  <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/#3">Science and education</a>  | <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/#4">Biosecurity</a></strong><strong> | <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/#5">Energy</a></strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong> <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/#6">Research and development</a> |  <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/#7">Water quality</a> |  <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/#8">Health</a> |  <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/#9">Marine sustainability</a> |  <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/11/08/election2011/#10">Genetic engineering</a></strong></p>
<p><strong>Previous election and science Q&amp;As:</strong><strong></strong></p>
<p>Election 2008: The <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2008/10/28/10-science-questions-for-helen-clark/">Labour Party</a>, <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2008/10/17/10-science-questions-for-john-key/">National Party</a>, the <a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2008/10/31/election-08-the-minor-parties-on-the-big-science-issues/">minor parties</a>.</p>
<p><em><strong>Comments are published in alphabetical order, based on the name of the political party.<br />
</strong></em></p>
<h3><a name="1"></a><strong>1: Science priorities</strong></h3>
<p><strong>The Ministry of Science and Innovation has said it plans to develop a statement of science priorities for the Government by November 30 and a statement of innovation priorities next March. What do you think should be the key statements around science and innovation made by these documents?</strong></p>
<p><strong>ACT:</strong> &#8220;First and foremost the government should be looking to create an environment conducive to good science rather than &#8216;doing&#8217; science itself. Second, the government should look to create maximum contestability for funding it provides to research institutions, be they CRIs or Universities.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>GREEN:</strong> &#8220;The Green Party believes that as a society we need to commit resources to both fundamental and applied research and that all such research should aim to contribute to sustainable development. Research priorities must lead to greater understanding of the interconnections within the ecosystems on which we depend and the causes of social problems. They must also support the shift to sustainable systems of production and patterns of consumption, rather than just generating profit in the present. Research must be conducted to support innovation and new industries. This is part of our commitment to localisation and community economic development.&#8221;<strong></strong></p>
<p><strong>LABOUR:</strong> &#8220;Our focus for science should be on creating a New Zealand which is clean, green and clever, that leverages the inherent talents of its people to produce an economy that is highly productive and innovative.</p>
<p>&#8220;The cleantech sector has enormous potential for growth, supporting its growth would be a priority for Labour so we can grow the economy and create jobs without ruining our environment. We already have significant advantages in renewable energy as well as ‘clean green’ brand which can be leveraged to boost this sectors earning by billions.</p>
<p>&#8220;Labour would also prioritise boosting business expenditure on R&amp;D. Currently it sits at one-third the OECD average and unless we improve that our economic growth will continue to lag.</p>
<p>&#8220;The next generation of Kiwis will have to be smarter and more innovative to compete in a fast-changing and technologically driven global economy.  So we need to prioritise science education in schools and ensure they have the resources and support to teach science in a way which excites and engages students.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>MAORI PARTY:</strong> &#8220;The Maori Party wants to see a greater and more meaningful emphasis placed on tikanga Maori, or traditional Maori approaches to scientific innovations. Maori traditional approaches to medicine and environmental management and protection, farming and horticulture hold vast sources of untapped knowledge&#8221;.</p>
<p><strong>NATIONAL:</strong> “National is committed to boosting science and driving innovation in our economy, to underpin growth and create higher-paid jobs. Our science priorities are in the areas that will enhance economic growth, so we’re focusing science and research resources squarely on growing the economy. A major part of this is improving the connections between science and business.</p>
<p>“Other key priorities include harnessing science to improve our environment, provide more efficient energy, and lift the performance of our health system. “</p>
<p><span id="more-13447"></span></p>
<h3><a name="2"></a><strong>2: Crown Research Institutes</strong></h3>
<p><strong>New Zealand still has eight Crown Research Institutes, after 10 were set up in 1992 with the dissolution of the DSIR. Two decades on, is this structure still the best for state-owned science companies, and what changes to taxpayer-funded science, if any, would your party implement, and why?</strong></p>
<p><strong>ACT:</strong> &#8220;ACT believes that this model has been largely successful. Having multiple and competing organisations comes closer to our policy direction of contestable funding and having multiple organisations increases the scope for experimentation, not just in the scientific sense but also in the organisational sense. ACT’s only change would be to push towards greater autonomy and competition for funding in areas where funds have been ring fenced for specific institutions, in particular, opening up more competition with Universities.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>GREEN</strong>: &#8220;We do not believe that the current management model for Crown Research Institutes (CRIs), which are now required to turn a profit, is the best. We need to develop models to get the best from the science community. We would like to see changes in funding to promote long term sustainability. We support universities and other competent science research providers being funded to conduct needed research, especially when it is linked to science education. We also support the idea of partnerships to develop applied technology. We are concerned at the extent to which public science is becoming private knowledge and would seek to redress this.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>LABOUR:</strong> &#8220;The Crown Research Institute model has worked fairly well over the past two decades; they’ve produced some ground breaking research for the benefit of New Zealand and returned solid dividends to the Crown.  Labour has no concrete plans to change the CRI structure though we certainly won’t be privatising them. We firmly believe that any change should be based on evidence in order to lead positive outcomes.</p>
<p>&#8220;Labour will however look for ways in which we can enhance collaboration between the CRIs and our other publicly funded science centres including universities &#8211; breaking down the silos between institutes will lead to better value and higher quality research which will benefit New Zealand as a whole.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>MAORI PARTY: </strong>&#8220;The Maori Party believes that these Crown Research Institutes should remain, however we would like to see more effective representation of Maori in management and in governance. The Crown has important constitutional obligations under the Treaty of Waitangi and the integration of Maori worldviews regarding official scientific research is imperative in fulfilling those obligations.</p>
<p>&#8220;The Maori Party will therefore ensure that there is a more positive outcome for Maori and Maori approaches to scientific research by increasing the pool of experienced people and we require all boards, research institutes, State-owned enterprises and Crown entities to allow fair and adequate Maori representation and decision-making capacity&#8221;.<strong><br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>NATIONAL: </strong> “The Crown Research Institutes is a good model for New Zealand. However, they become too internally focussed at the expense of their sectors. “We have reformed Crown Research Institutes to make them more effective. In 2010 we introduced the recommendations of the CRI Taskforce.</p>
<p>“The major performance indicator for CRIs now is their engagement with their sectors. They also now have significantly more core funding – up from $60 million to $215 million. This allows them to build long term capability, and prioritise the core research problems of their industries in a systematic way. We have also ensured that CRIs are focused on growth industries. This fits our Science &amp; Innovation agenda of promoting economic growth through investment in science and research.</p>
<p>“The Government has just announced that it is establishing an Advanced Technology Institute branches in Christchurch, Auckland, and Wellington. The institute will eventually employ over 700 research and development specialists across a range of disciplines. The institute will work with both research providers and businesses to translate innovation into commercial products, by having its own extensive R&amp;D capability that supports business (including testing and prototyping facilities), and by being able to source and interpret commercial R&amp;D output from research providers.</p>
<p>“The Advanced Technology Institute model has been very successful in Denmark, Finland and Singapore, and fills a gap between manufacturers and existing tertiary institutions, whose research has a different core focus.</p>
<p>“Lifting the research and development capacity of our hi-tech manufacturing sector is critical to developing the huge potential that advanced manufacturing has as a stronger contributor to our export sector and growing our economy. To do this we need to increase private sector investment in R&amp;D, and improve collaboration with public sector R&amp;D. Our co-funded business grants are already raising business investment.”</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3><a name="3"></a><strong>3: Science and education</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Not only does New Zealand have problems persuading young people to study science at university, it has difficulty persuading graduate researchers to eventually settle in this country. How will your party make science and technology more attractive to students looking ahead to tertiary education, and what can be done to encourage them to work in New Zealand?</strong></p>
<p><strong>ACT</strong>: &#8220;ACT’s core value in primary and secondary education is decentralisation. For the vast majority of students, there is one type of school, one type of teaching, and one curriculum and assessment system. To the extent that primary and secondary schools are failing to attract students into science, it is a failure of the entire system affecting almost every student. We believe it more likely that more science friendly schools, teachers and curricula will evolve in a more decentralised system.</p>
<p>&#8220;That is, a system where the funding follows the child and teachers and principals have more autonomy about how they run their schools. For example, in the Canadian province in Alberta where anybody can set up a special character or “charter” school there are now thirteen such schools including the Calgary Science School which takes a scientific approach to learning.</p>
<p>&#8220;More generally, New Zealand faces a problem with providing interesting and well-paying jobs, evidenced by the outflow of people on a truly massive scale. In the OECD we have the second highest proportion of citizens living outside our country. ACT believes that the primary challenge is creating a stable, lightly regulated, lightly taxed environment for entrepreneurship and economic growth. ACT’s full economic policies can be found on our website.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>GREEN</strong>:  &#8220;The Green Party supports facilitating a culture-shift in attitudes towards science, research, and technology through school curriculum changes and initiatives like Green Innovation Awards in the sciences. We support changes to student support to supplement loans with a bonding scheme incentivising students to remain in New Zealand. There is a big hole at the moment in funding early career researchers that creates an incentive for them to head overseas, often on a one way ticket. Properly funding post doc research positions would address this.</p>
<p>&#8220;Additionally we need to support secondary school teachers to inspire the next generation of scientists among us. Research shows that enthusiastic teachers do make a difference. Teachers need to have the time and energy to be creative in pupil-focused activity rather than burdened with administrative demands. To address this we support initiatives like after six years of service, teachers, including early childhood education teachers, will be entitled to a sabbatical leave for one year at 80% of their salary.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>LABOUR:</strong> &#8220;The years immediately following graduation are critical to consolidate the careers of scientists. With the removal of post-doctoral scholarships in 2010, New Zealand is at risk of losing hundreds of our best brains overseas.</p>
<p>&#8220;Labour will reinstate post-doctoral fellowships for recent PhD graduates, scaling up to a cost of $6 million a year, so they are supported into research careers in New Zealand instead of overseas.</p>
<p>&#8220;Labour will also establish a scheme for better funding, ‘brilliant’ scientists. This funding will be portable to allow scientists to take it to the most appropriate institution, purchase equipment, recruit staff and attract other world leaders in the field to NZ.</p>
<p>&#8220;Labour&#8217;s full science and innovation policy, with more details on science in education, will be released shortly.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>MAORI PARTY: </strong>&#8220;The Maori Party is aware of and understands the concerns which arise as a result of a shortage in specialist areas. The issue is even more pronounced for Maori. For Maori, it is about achieving a balance of understanding and respect for matauranga Maori and western principles of science and technology.</p>
<p>&#8220;As previously mentioned, a Maori approach provides a very special, unique level of knowledge, based on empirical, cultural and spiritual elements. We think that improvement to levels of cultural competency at school will encourage our young people to take pride in their country and stay here and work.</p>
<p>&#8220;We also think that this will encourage our young Maori to explore further beyond their horizons to study and a good career.   To this end, part of our education policy promotes the concept of the academy &#8211; a centre of learning excellence.  Within this we will establish roadshows to promote educational pathways in areas where Maori are under-represented &#8211; ie health science academies (Te Kura Putaiao Hauora) or science camps&#8221;.<strong><br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>NATIONAL:  </strong> “The attraction of science and technology for young people is directly linked to how it fits in with how they see their futures. The more important high technology industries are to our economy, the more people will want to work in the sector. Greater opportunities will lead to greater interest.</p>
<p>“We’re developing five new vocational pathways for young people through a partnership between industry training organisations and the education sector. They will clarify the existing array of options so students and their families can see the connection between what students learn at school and what industries it could lead them to.</p>
<p>“Manufacturing and technology is one of those pathways. The vocational pathways will describe the learning, and the assessment standards valued by broad sectors of industry. They will also include a career and study map, which will show young people potential occupations and future study options.</p>
<p>“Already we are seeing a change in attitudes. The three most respected people in New Zealand are scientists. Increasingly, we are hearing about smart companies that are doing very well – often with young people as their owners.</p>
<p>“We have already increased fundamental science funding through the Marsden Fund and Health Research Council. Many of our top young post grads work on projects funded through these means. The Rutherford Discovery Fellowships created more opportunities for young scientists a few years into their career. We are reviewing support for post-docs.</p>
<p>“The Advanced Technology Institute will create jobs for an additional 300-400 scientists and engineers.”</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3><a name="4"></a><strong>4: Biosecurity</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Side effects of global warming and increased cross-border travellers and cargo are likely to be greater potential risks of incursions of pests and diseases. Global economic strife and continuing wars may also increase the risk of inadvertent incursions or even deliberate bioterrorism. What science or innovation would your party support to better prepare the country for pests, a disease outbreak, bio-terrorism attack or global pandemic?</strong></p>
<p><strong>ACT:  </strong>&#8220;Our party does not have a policy on a specific science or innovation for these challenges. Science and innovation by their very nature are about discovering new knowledge, so it would be presumptuous to say we already know.</p>
<p>&#8220;Nevertheless we recognise that New Zealand’s isolation has given us a unique ecosystem and the history of human colonisation shows how vulnerable it is to outside threats, especially introduced species. With this in mind, protecting our ecosystem is one government expenditure that the ACT Party supports in line with our broader view that it is the primary role of government to provide a safe community.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>GREEN</strong>: &#8220;The most likely threat we will face are pests and diseases. As we have experience from incursions of the varroa mite, didymo, painted apple moth the impacts can be wide ranging and somewhat irreversible. Picking winners is not as important as providing a sound base that allows for good science to be undertaken both as preventative measures but also as part of the response to incursions. Part of our green jobs priority is investing in R&amp;D though grants and tax credits. Biosecurity is important for the security of our agriculture, fishing and forestry sectors and as such would be a priority for R&amp;D funding.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>LABOUR:</strong> &#8220;Effective biosecurity safeguards are vital to protecting New Zealand’s primary exporting industries and are native flora and fauna. Biosecurity hazards are constantly changing and we need the most up to date research and scientific techniques in order to ensure our borders are as secure as possible. Labour will continue to support investment into biosecurity science and innovation, through our CRI’s, universities and Biosecurity New Zealand.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our biosecurity policy will be released shortly, containing more information on how Labour plans to bolster our biosecurity system.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>MAORI PARTY: &#8220;</strong>Biosecurity is critical to protecting New Zealand&#8217;s economic potential and the continuing good health and welfare of our people. The Maori Party supports a biosecurity system which protects our way of life and our beautiful native plants, birds, insects and our natural environment, our rivers, lakes and streams, our mountains, our wahi tapu and our taonga. Ultimately, the point of this protection for us is the safeguarding of the special and very unique relationship that Maori have with our natural surroundings so that our future generations can enjoy it as much as we and our ancestors have&#8221;.</p>
<p>&#8220;The Maori Party believes we must protect Aotearoa from unwanted pests or organisms.  Effective and efficient instruments and measures are required to reduce and prevent the harmful effects on the relationship between Maori, as well as our culture, traditions, waters, wahi tapu , taonga and traditions.</p>
<p>&#8220;We supported the Biosecurity Law Reform Bill in December 2010 because it provided room for amendments to modernise and improve our biosecurity system, including ways to implement principles of recognition, partnership and protection for indigenous biosecurity methods and values. The Maori Party will lead Government&#8217;s response to the Waitangi Tribunal Report (WAI 262 Ko Aotearoa Tenei) which provides a vital foundation to care of our flora and fauna&#8221;.<strong><br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>NATIONAL</strong>:  “National is committed to making the biosecurity system more effective and efficient by ensuring that resources are used when, and where, they are most needed. We know that biosecurity doesn’t just begin and end at the border. The system works on three fronts: working overseas to stop travellers and importers from bringing pests here; working at the border to identify pests that do arrive; and working to find, manage or eliminate pests that have established here. We’ll continue to engage with government agencies, local councils, industry and community groups and the New Zealand public in finding ways to improve the biosecurity system. “</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3><a name="5"></a><strong>5: Energy</strong></h3>
<p><strong>NZ is expected to become increasing reliant on hydro-electric and wind generation in the move to alternative energy sources. How would your party provide a boost to the science needed to help diversify to other “green” energy sources, such as sustainable wave and tidal power and additional geothermal plants. And what policies would you implement to help households cut their energy consumption to reduce the need for new generation?</strong></p>
<p><strong>ACT:  </strong>&#8220;The ACT Party does not support direct government investment or “picking winners” in the energy sector. The Corn Ethanol debacle of the past decade is a good example of why governments shouldn’t try to do such things, as is the moth balled Marsden B Power Station at Ruakaka, a Think Big project that was built and never used. To the extent that government should try to change the energy sector, it should do so using broad based taxes such as a carbon tax and let the market function, although ACT does not currently support such a tax.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>GREEN</strong>:  &#8220;Part of our green jobs priority is to leverage the State Owned Energy Companies to generate investment in renewable energy technology. Initiatives like a start-up capital fund specifically targeted at clean tech opportunities, boosting government funding of R&amp;D by $1 billion over the next three years through tax credits and grants. Additionally strong environmental regulations allow for more certainty around investment in renewable energy solutions.</p>
<p>&#8220;Finally we must not forget about energy efficiency and conservation measures to reduce peak demand. Insulation, and clean heat sources play a role in this but the most important step is to implement a New Zealand Energy Efficiency and Conservation Strategy (NZEECS) with real and achievable targets and milestones to assess progress.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>LABOUR:</strong> &#8220;We need to increase our renewable energy production in order to keep powering the country in the future and combat climate change, that’s why Labour set the goal of producing 90% of our electricity from renewables by 2025. The last Labour Government also established the Marine Energy Development Fund which has helped establish several wave and tidal projects in places like the Kaipara harbour and the Chatham Islands.</p>
<p>&#8220;Labour supports a strong ETS which realises the true cost of carbon and incentivises investment in renewable energy research and development. We’ll continue with home insulation schemes to ensure New Zealand homes are warmer, healthier and more energy efficient.</p>
<p>&#8220;Labour’s full energy policy contains more information on how Labour will boost renewable energy production.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>MAORI PARTY: </strong>&#8220;The Maori Party believes strongly in the efficient use of water, energy conservation and the need for sustainable environmental management as well as a nuclear-free future for our mokopuna. Government must invest in energy infrastructure and increase renewables in preparation for an oil-less world. Increasing grid efficiency and reducing energy use, more efficient water pipelines, sewerage systems, wind farms, and the rail system will also generate employment and training opportunities (labouring, manufacturing)&#8221;.</p>
<p>&#8221; We will implement a renewable energy strategy to address our reliance on fossil fuels; to be developed in consultation with iwi; and which establishes a cross-party inquiry to investigate our response to the peak oil crisis. New Zealand has the potential to lead the world in developing successful and efficient alternative energy sources and we will support investment in these new innovations.</p>
<p>&#8220;As part of the negotiations in the Emissions Trading Scheme the Maori Party gained an additional investment of $24m targeted exclusively towards low-income families.  This enabled 6000 additional homes to benefit from the scheme.  The Maori Party was also instrumental in reducing by half the price increases to power and petrol&#8221;.</p>
<p><strong>NATIONAL:  </strong>“National is serious about global warming and tackling climate change. We’re reducing costs for businesses while encouraging the transition to low-carbon business.</p>
<p>“We have established the Global Research Alliance and provided $45 million for research aimed at tackling greenhouse gas emissions.</p>
<p>“We have also established a Green Growth Advisory Group, to provide advice on how to achieve economic growth while also promoting environmental protection.</p>
<p>“Our goal is to be 90% renewable by 2025. A key factor in achieving this goal is reform of the Resource Management Act, allowing renewable projects to be consented far earlier than under the previous Government. We invest around $18 m per year in renewable energy research. This includes research into geothermal, bio, solar, wave and tidal energy.</p>
<p>“National has invested significantly in insulation and clean heating, to help reduce households’ energy consumption. We’re investing $347 million and more than 130,000 homes have now been retrofitted.  The Government also recently introduced new energy efficiency standards for products and appliances which are expected to create net savings of $360 million for the country by 2020. “</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3><a name="6"></a><strong>6: Research and development</strong></h3>
<p><strong>In 2009, Australia was ranked 12th among OECD member countries for its spending on R&amp;D as a percentage of GDP and New Zealand was ranked 27th. What is your party’s approach to encouraging R&amp;D in general, and in particular, among New Zealand businesses? What policies would you implement to encourage private sector R&amp;D?</strong></p>
<p><strong>ACT:  </strong>&#8220;The ratio of R&amp;D to conventional investment that firms in a country should undertake is an open question. Sometimes it makes sense to develop IP here in New Zealand, other times it actually makes more sense to be an importer of IP. In other words, we should never try to reinvent the wheel. For this reason, ACT does not have a policy targeting any particular level of R&amp;D spending or specific policies designed to encourage it.</p>
<p>&#8220;We believe that solving New Zealand’s broader problem with attracting investment will likely raise R&amp;D and we should solve that problem first. ACT’s economic policies for providing a low tax, lightly regulated environment that is conducive to investment can be found on our website.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>GREEN</strong>:  &#8220;New Zealand invests 1.31% of GDP in R&amp;D — close to half the average spent across OECD countries. Instead of subsidising polluters up to $1.2 billion per year to continue to emit CO2 under our current Emissions Trading Scheme, we would change the scheme and redirect that subsidy into industry-related R&amp;D expenditure. Achieved through a combination of tax credits and grants this would be focused on clean tech solutions and priority given to fields where we enjoy a competitive advantage.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>LABOUR:</strong> &#8220;Labour will introduce a Research &amp; Development (R&amp;D) tax credit at the rate of 12.5%. It will lift New Zealand’s lagging R&amp;D expenditure by encouraging businesses to research and innovate.</p>
<p>&#8220;Although Kiwis are an inventive people, our business expenditure on R&amp;D is one-third the OECD average (0.54% of GDP); such a low level is a drag on New Zealand’s ability to innovate and grow.</p>
<p>&#8220;Only a handful of OECD governments do not give tax credits to stimulate business R&amp;D; New Zealand is one of them. A tax credit encourages strategic thinking within business to invest in areas that will best suit the company, rather than simply applying for a grant.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>MAORI PARTY:  </strong>&#8220;The Maori Party is certainly in favour of lifting our potential in terms of getting innovative new ideas out of New Zealand&#8217;s  Research and Development sector. Successfully aligning investments in science and innovation with Maori business potentially will lead to 150,000 additional jobs per years in the New Zealand economy by 2060, with an additional $12 billion in GDP from the Maori economy.</p>
<p>&#8220;We want to establish a priority fund for Maori research and development. We will promote collaboration between Maori entrepreneurs, scientists and innovators to improve opportunities, jobs and incomes. And we will create and resource an incubation hub for hap? and iwi to test the economic viability of new ideas on the local and global market and to mentor up and coming researchers and students who want to undertake postgraduate study to conduct specialised research&#8221;.<strong><strong><br />
</strong></strong></p>
<p><strong>NATIONAL</strong>:  “National has invested more into science and innovation every year since taking office. Vote MSI has increased from $689 million in 2008 to $773 million last year. There has been significant investment through other portfolios, such as the Primary Growth Partnership. PGP commitments co funded through Government and business have reached nearly $500 million.</p>
<p>“In Budget 2009 we put 23% more funding into the Marsden Fund and 13% more into the Health Research Council.</p>
<p>“Our business innovation support package in Budget 2010 increased funding by $225 million over four years. This included $189 million for Technology Development Grants, and $20 million for Technology Transfer Vouchers. We continued the Tech NZ scheme of matched funding ‘one off’ grants with funding of $47 million per year.</p>
<p>“All of these schemes are co-funded, which means applicants have to put in their own funds as well. This stimulates further private sector investment in R&amp;D.</p>
<p>“We believe that targeted grants are far more effective at building real R&amp;D capability in industry, rather than tax credits. Tax credits encourage accounting innovation over business innovation. We can also better target R&amp;D spending where it has the greatest impact.</p>
<p>“The results of this have been clear. New Zealand now invests $2.5 billion a year in science and innovation &#8211; up 13 per cent from 2008. R&amp;D spending as a percentage of GDP was up to 1.3% (up from 1.19%), and business R&amp;D spending was $1 billion (up 10%). Our latest announcement will dramatically add to these results.</p>
<p>“The latest TIN 100 report into New Zealand’s largest high tech firms notes that our top 100 companies lifted their R&amp;D investment by 15% over the last two years.</p>
<p>“National’s intention is clear – we want to raise the level of innovation investment. We have done and we will continue to do so. The Advanced Technology Institute is just the latest example of significant investment.”</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3><a name="7"></a><strong>7: Water quality</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Degradation of water quality in lowland waterways is an increasing problem, but intensification of agriculture looks set to continue as population increases and lifestyle changes in markets such as Asia create more demand for food from New Zealand. What is your party’s policy on supporting science and innovation to mitigate the environmental impacts of development, habitation and industry on waterways and what science and technology would you implement to reduce the effects on waterways of diffuse pollution from farmland?</strong></p>
<p><strong>ACT</strong>:  &#8220;ACT supports science and technology solving this problem, but it should be solved by creating demand for a solution through enforcing proper standards on waterway pollution first. This approach makes it more likely that the most efficient solutions will be found. This approach is different to picking a &#8216;winner&#8217; solution first then hoping it will solve the problem.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>GREEN</strong>:  &#8220;Water quality is a Green Party priority this election. We are drawing to heavily on our natural capital and damaging the sustainability of agriculture operations in the future. We want to introduce a fair charge for the commercial use of water. This charge incentivises uses of our water resources to do so more efficiently creating demand for good solutions. Some of the revenue generated by this charge would be recycled back into low tech waterway protection – riparian planting. Agriculture, as an industry where we have a competitive advantage, would be a good candidate for receiving the R&amp;D tax credits and grants mentioned above.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>LABOUR:</strong> &#8220;The health of our waterways is at the heart of how we promote ourselves to the world and earn a premium for our exports.</p>
<p>&#8220;To improve water quality, farmers dependence on urea fertiliser must be urgently reduced. Science has a role to play in providing effective and affordable fertiliser solutions. Revenue from the Labour’s water resource rental will fund water way improvements, this will include investment in new research and science as we seek new means of cleaning up our waterways and minimising damage.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>MAORI PARTY:  </strong>&#8220;The Maori Party believes very strongly in investing in sustainable ways to control the quality of our water and the way we conserve energy and our natural resources including indigenous flora and fauna. We know that the enjoyment of our future generations and of course, our own health and well-being depends on it. We believe in the efficient use of water, energy conservation and the need for sustainable environmental management.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are concerned about water management; restoration of water quality; and environmentally sustainable land use that does not degrade our water systems.<br />
We want to develop iwi environmental monitoring and evaluation on the quality of water in our rivers, lakes, seas and rural water supplies to homes and marae; and develop options for improving the water quality as a result.</p>
<p>&#8220;The Maori Party wants to develop environmental monitoring and evaluation of the quality of our freshwater resources in collaboration with local iwi. From this we want to come up with options for improving the condition and quality of our lakes, rivers and streams.  We will also subsidise organisations to undertake environmental impact assessments to support businesses to become more environmentally friendly&#8221;.<strong><br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>NATIONAL</strong>:  “National&#8217;s Bluegreen approach is about the balance between growing the economy while improving our environmental management.  New Zealand is more richly blessed with fresh water than just about any other country, and if we take a balanced, collaborative approach we can wisely use this resource to create jobs and wealth as well as providing for recreation and conservation.</p>
<p>“We have increased the investment in waterway clean-ups by five-fold to more than $265 million, compared to just $16 million spent between 2004 and 2008.  This will clean up significant water bodies such as Lake Taupo and the Waikato River, and reflects the importance National puts on improved fresh water management.  This also includes a $15 million contestable water clean-up fund for Councils with water pollution problems.</p>
<p>“We have doubled funding for New Zealand Landcare Trust to enable it to expand and grow its successful land management work. This includes support for landcare and community based groups, fostering research and providing land management training.</p>
<p>“We’ve announced a balanced package of reforms including:</p>
<p>•           Establishing the Land &amp; Water Forum.</p>
<p>•           A National Policy Statement on Freshwater.</p>
<p>•           Doubling penalties for non-compliance.</p>
<p>•           Regulations for metering 98% of water takes.</p>
<p>“The Government has engaged the Land and Water Forum again to advance the next stage of work on methods, tools and governance arrangements for setting limits for water quality, quantity, and allocation. The Forum will report to Government during 2012.</p>
<p>“We have also established the Irrigation Acceleration Fund to provide $35 million over five years to support the development of proposals to the ‘investment ready’ prospectus stage.  Smart irrigation infrastructure will boost economic development and growth in our primary sectors.</p>
<p>“The fund will support regional scale rural water infrastructure proposals such as community irrigation schemes.  All successful projects will need to be committed to good industry practice that promotes efficient water use and environmental management, particularly around land-use intensification.  Irrigation good practice is essential if we are to protect our vital water resource for the future.”</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3><a name="8"></a><strong>8: Health</strong></h3>
<p><strong>The health system faces challenges such as helping young people to a healthy adult life, and improving the quality of old age for an increasing proportion of the population. How would your party improve biomedical research in New Zealand and public access to the benefits that it provides, while at the same time meeting the health needs of an ageing population?</strong></p>
<p><strong>ACT:  </strong>&#8220;We do not have a specific policy on this, except to say that we do not support government attempting to pick winners in the biomedical space. New Zealand has excellent biotech companies such as F&amp;P Healthcare and start-ups such as Nexus 6 which show what New Zealand firms can achieve, however they tend to be in surprising niches (sleep apnoea and asthma monitoring in these examples), which governments are unlikely to identify faster than entrepreneurs.</p>
<p>&#8220;ACT believes that creating the right environment for entrepreneurship generally will see more biomedical research. However from the point of view of the healthcare consuming public, we should be realistic about the fact that New Zealand is only 0.2% of the world economy and the majority of benefits will come from overseas. The most important factor in whether New Zealanders can access these is going to be the productivity and living standards of the overall economy.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>GREEN:  </strong>&#8220;We see the best opportunities for health research within a New Zealand context focused on public health measures and population specific measures especially addressing health issues of Maori and Pacifika people.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>LABOUR:</strong> &#8220;Labour supports long-term research to deal with the underlying causes of illness and strategies for the promotion of good health and well-being. We will maintain current levels for funding for health research and build upon this as resources permit. The R &amp; D Tax Credit is also likely to provide some encouragement for private-sector health research.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>MAORI PARTY: </strong>&#8220;We want our whanau to be the best that they can be and to be supported by an equitable, sustainable health system.  We will promote marae-based health clinics as preferred sites of wellbeing and service delivery to support whanau.</p>
<p>&#8220;The Maori Party will look after our elders by restoring whanau responsibility through Whanau Ora. Whanau Ora is the basis on which we seek our collective strength.  The Maori Party is concerned by the findings of the Tatau Kura Tangata report (2011) that Maori aged 50 years and over live in lower socio-economic areas and as a result, are less likely to understand and obtain the necessary healthcare they need.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our Quality of Care policy specifies that we will resource formal and informal caregivers to enable whanau members to stay in their own homes, especially older people and disabled persons to be supported to live in their homes as much as possible. Whanau should feel safe and secure and should be able to live with dignity&#8221;.<strong><br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>NATIONAL</strong>:  “Science that directly boosts economic growth through effective market-driven research has been a key element of National’s agenda. The increased funding we’ve provided specifically demonstrates the Government&#8217;s strong commitment to the biomedical technology sector and the high-tech therapeutics industry.”</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3><a name="9"></a><strong>9: Marine sustainability</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Government and industry have signalled increased effort in offshore petroleum exploration, and talked of the potential for sea-floor mining in the future. What policies will you implement to help preserve the health of the oceans surrounding New Zealand, and how will you gauge the environmental impacts of exploiting mineral resources on New Zealand&#8217;s continental shelf?</strong></p>
<p><strong>ACT</strong>:  &#8220;We do not have sufficient policy on measuring the impact. We are in favour of exploring the potential for harvesting great wealth from off-shore energy and mineral activities, and we acknowledge that if this sector expands then the government will have to increase its infrastructure for policing these.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>GREEN</strong>:  &#8220;We support: Creation of a network of marine reserves of a viable area, representing all marine eco-system types within our Exclusive Economic Zone; Amending the National Parks Act to facilitate the protection of marine areas adjacent to national parks. We don’t support off-shore oil drilling. The risks are to great and the response to the Rena grounding has highlighted the challenges we face due to our size and location in responding to maritime disasters and the state of local resources available to respond. A spill the size of the Gulf disaster would have catastrophic impacts on large parts of our coast. We don’t see the potential gains as worth the risk.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>LABOUR:</strong> &#8220;The grounding of MV Rena off Tauranga has graphically illustrated the destructiveness of even a relatively small oil spill. The environmental risks of any deep sea drilling for petroleum resources – in our Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) – must be minimised.</p>
<p>&#8220;Labour will not allow deep sea drilling to occur unless such standards and safeguards are in place, as well as robust contingency plans and an effective rapid response capability if an incident occurs. We will also establish a comprehensive oceans policy, including legislating to safeguard New Zealand’s ocean ecosystems and to minimise the environmental risks of activities in our EEZ.</p>
<p>&#8220;The legislation will set out new rules and a new consents regime for the EEZ, and will be administered by the EPA. These controls will manage the effects of activities and their disturbance of the sea floor.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>MAORI PARTY: </strong>&#8220;The Maori Party supported the Exclusive Economic Zone and Continental Shelf (Environmental Effects) Bill in its first reading in September of this year. We supported it with the view that it would enhance our ability to care for the environment for future generations and also guarantee the mana whenua rights of Maori as kaitiaki over our environment.</p>
<p>&#8220;The Maori Party is opposed to offshore petroleum exploration without full participation of affected iwi groups in any decision-making process. &#8220;As a Treaty partner, Maori are entitled to fair and equal decision-making rights regarding all aspects of exploration where there is a potential for environmental harm.    We support a moratorium on off-shore drilling to enable full consultation, particularly with mana whenua, on the appropriate mechanisms to ensure any adverse economic, environmental, social and cultural risks are managed.</p>
<p>&#8220;We will implement the Crown Minerals (Effective and Meaningful Engagement with Iwi, Hapu, and Whanau) Amendment Bill in Te Ururoa Flavell&#8217;s name, to ensure full consultation and negotiation with mana whenua / mana moana before any mining contracts are let&#8221;.<strong><strong><br />
</strong></strong></p>
<p><strong>NATIONAL:  </strong> “We have introduced legislation to manage the environmental effects of activities in New Zealand’s oceans. The Exclusive Economic Zone and Continental Shelf (Environmental Effects) Bill puts in place a framework that classifies activities as prohibited, discretionary, or permitted, gives the consenting function to the new Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and enables public consultation on significant activities like drilling for petroleum.</p>
<p>“The proposed new law will protect New Zealand’s oceans from the potential environmental risks of activities like petroleum exploration, mining, marine energy, and carbon capture developments. The new system will work alongside existing legislation that manages fishing and maritime transport. It has also been carefully designed to ensure it is consistent with New Zealand’s international obligations.</p>
<p>“The Government has also beefed up regulation of the petroleum industry by the Labour Department with the new High Hazards Unit with four new inspectors. Additional interim measures were announced last month for the coming year requiring operators to work to the latest drilling safety rules developed in the United States following the Gulf of Mexico disaster, and environmental impact assessments to be submitted to the EPA.”</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3><a name="10"></a><strong>10: Genetic engineering</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Scientists are using genetic modification to develop new varieties of forage grasses they predict could have potential to increase productivity and moderate pollution from pasture-based farms in New Zealand. What view does your party have on changing the HSNO Act to make introduction of GE pastures easier, or supporting, say, a conditional release of GE pasture plants to boost the research effort?</strong></p>
<p><strong>ACT:  </strong>&#8220;ACT supports the use of GE. We acknowledge that there is little evidence worldwide of the concerns and sometimes outright scaremongering around GE being realised. Given the increase in demand for food around the world and the role that New Zealand could play in it, ACT believes that we should be rational and scientific about genetic engineering, and we believe that the current evidence favours greater use of GE.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>GREEN</strong>:  &#8220;We support keeping GE in the lab. Once released into the environment we cannot remove it and as such we support a precautionary approach. Our clean green brand is one of our countries most valuable assets we support protecting it.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>LABOUR:</strong>&#8220;The Royal Commission on genetic modification recommended a precautionary approach whereby New Zealand’s unique environment would be protected but future options to take advantage of this new science would not be closed off. Labour endorses that approach.</p>
<p>&#8220;Labour will continue to insist on zero tolerance of unapproved GM organisms. In government we strengthened New Zealand’s system of managing GM organisms (GMOs) to being one of the most robust and stringent in the world. We believe accountability and traceability of GMOs is necessary to protect New Zealand’s unique environment.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>MAORI PARTY: </strong>&#8220;The Maori Party does not support the introduction of genetically engineered plants and pastures&#8221;.<strong><br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>NATIONAL:  </strong> “We have no plans at this stage to make changes to the HSNO Act to loosen up the rules around Genetically Modified Organisms.”</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/11/ElectionScienceAtom1.jpg"><img class="aligncenter" title="ElectionScienceAtom" src="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/11/ElectionScienceAtom1.jpg" alt="" width="265" height="182" /></a></strong></p>
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		<title>Greenhouse gas experts meet in NZ</title>
		<link>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/10/28/greenhouse-gas-experts-meet-in-nz/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/10/28/greenhouse-gas-experts-meet-in-nz/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Oct 2011 03:01:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kent</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Briefings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[greenhouse gas emissions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Manning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pieter Tans]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/?p=13319</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[World experts on greenhouse gases are meeting in Wellington to refine measurement methods for greenhouse gases as part of efforts  to pin down increased understanding of what is happening in our atmosphere. The 16th global conference on carbon dioxide, other greenhouse gases, and related measurement techniques (GGMT)  continues until October 28, under the banners of [...]]]></description>
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<p><strong>World experts on greenhouse gases are meeting in Wellington to refine measurement methods for greenhouse gases as part of efforts  to pin down increased understanding of what is happening in our atmosphere</strong>.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/10/co2.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-13329" title="Environmental activists dressed up as CO" src="http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/wp-content/upload/2011/10/co2.jpg" alt="" width="352" height="214" /></a>The 16th global <a href="http://www.niwa.co.nz/sites/default/files/ggmt-2011_3rd_announcement_new.pdf" target="_blank">conference</a> on carbon dioxide, other greenhouse gases, and related measurement techniques (GGMT)  continues until October 28, under the banners of the  World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) .</p>
<p>Host body is the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), where conference organiser Gordon Brailsford said a key aim of the meeting was to refine measurement methodologies and make them more consistent, as precise measurements of greenhouse gases needed to be made, and data sets compared, to get an accurate picture of the global situation.  In recent years, there had been much discussion, and concern, about the rates at which greenhouse gas levels in the atmosphere are rising.</p>
<p>A key speaker on October 26 was Dr Pieter Tans of the US-based Earth System Research laboratory, best known for his discovery of the  large “sink” uptake of CO2 by terrestrial ecosystems such as temperate forests at mid-latitudes in the northern hemisphere.</p>
<p>He has led the carbon cycle greenhouse gases group at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) since 1985 and spoke on “Climate change and the end of exponential growth” (audio play back below).</p>
<p>Other international representatives included Oksana Tarasova, from the WMO research department in Switzerland. Her speech was on “Greenhouse gas observations and analysis in the Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW)/WMO programme”.</p>
<p><strong>Professor  Martin Manning, from  Victoria University of Wellington&#8217;s New Zealand Climate Change Research Institute, spoke on “Global risk management”.</strong></p>
<p>“We are increasing the pressure on our environment the whole time,” he said.</p>
<p>His concern was that the atmospheric concentrations of CO2 are rising at an increasing rate, and there is already a commitment to a very different climate for several thousand years into the future.</p>
<p>Countries reported on their own level of gas emissions, which he said could lead to underestimation:</p>
<p>“It’s not enough to leave it up to the governments to say how much gas is going into the atmosphere.</p>
<p>“There is an increasing role for scientists to track the sources as well as the extent to which they are being removed by natural processes,” said Prof Manning.  Methane levels were now increasing faster in the Southern Hemisphere:</p>
<p>“We could be approaching a threshold for methane which will have major ramifications,” said Prof Manning.</p>
<p>Earlier in the week, the scientists made a field trip to NIWA’s world-renowned atmospheric monitoring station at Baring Head,  an important part of the GAW/WMO network. New Zealand started making measurements of CO2 in 1972, when atmospheric CO2 concentrations were 323 parts per million.</p>
<p>There is now about 20 percent more in the atmosphere.  Key greenhouses gases, including methane and nitrous oxide, are measured at the station and significant changes are tracked. Baring Head Clean Air Station is exposed to strong southerly winds that have not been in contact with land for at least five days. NIWA monitors the composition of air at Baring Head because it is representative of large areas of the mid-latitude southern hemisphere.</p>
<p>New Zealand&#8217;s work on monitoring atmosphere gases in the southern hemisphere  have also played a role in US-based research by an international team of scientists in the HIPPO project to map over 80 gases and particles which affect the planet&#8217;s climate.</p>
<p><strong>Slash emissions to avert climate catastrophe &#8211; Tans</strong></p>
<p>At a seminar outside the conference, Dr Tans warned that greenhouse gas emissions needed to be slashed back if the world was to avoid “catastrophic” climate change.</p>
<p>“We know that net CO2 emissions have to go to zero, or negative &#8212; that means we’re going to develop methods to pull CO2 out of the atmosphere,” he told a New Zealand Climate Change Research Institute seminar in Wellington. “Emissions have to be really severely curtailed to avoid catastrophic climate change”.</p>
<p>The leader of the Carbon Cycle Greenhouse Gases group at the Earth Systems Research Laboratory run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in Boulder Colorado, Dr Tans was attending a greenhouse gas conference in Wellington, with about 90 other scientists from around the world.</p>
<p>Dr Tans advocated demonstrating to developing countries that they could have comfortable lifestyles for their populations without following the same high-emissions path that had been taken by the economies of developed countries, and said that would require a lot of investment in developing nations. “We need to demonstrate to developing countries that they can have a comfortable life, using less energy, and we need to put money on the table”.</p>
<p><strong>Click below to listen back to the speech by Dr Tans.</strong><br />
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		<title>&#8216;Blame the Ref&#8217; &#8211; psychology for the RWC</title>
		<link>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/09/08/blame-the-ref-psychology-for-the-rwc/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/2011/09/08/blame-the-ref-psychology-for-the-rwc/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Sep 2011 04:12:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kent</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Briefings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marc Wilson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rugby]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RWC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sport]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sciencemediacentre.co.nz/?p=12061</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Rugby is central to New Zealand’s sense of national self worth— but this can be a problem given New Zealand’s recent track record of not winning world cup contests, says Associate Professor of Psychology,   Marc Wilson, of Victoria University in Wellington. “We love our rugby,&#8221; he said in a public lecture at Wellington on September [...]]]></description>
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<p><strong>Rugby is central to New Zealand’s sense of national self worth— but this can be a problem given New Zealand’s recent track record of not winning world cup contests, says Associate Professor of Psychology,   Marc Wilson, of Victoria University in Wellington.</strong></p>
<p>“We love our rugby,&#8221; he said in a public lecture at Wellington on September 7. &#8220;That’s great when the All Blacks are winning (like between Rugby World Cups), but when they lose it’s a different story.”</p>
<p>Prof Wilson canvassed changes in public perceptions of All Blacks as the sport became increasingly professional, the importance of the black strip, and questions about refereeing, before speculating on the potential impact of the World Cup result on politicians.  He also considered the apparent advantage gained by sports teams wearing red.</p>
<p>The lecture was accompanied by one on arena spectacles in a very different era — ancient Rome — which was given by the university&#8217;s  Associate Professor of Classics,  Matthew Trundle.</p>
<p>The Science Media Centre recorded an excerpt from Prof Wilson&#8217;s lecture: you can listen to it below.</p>
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<p><strong>The speaker is a psychologist and commentator, Associate Professor Marc Wilson, of Victoria University, Wellington</strong></p>
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